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Red118
350635.3
456133.7
453420.4
Blue116
493530.8
516033.2
366122.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131070200300400118116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.2
35.735.8
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End9.1
red by 2.2
33.20.2
33.133.3
Auto9.4
Teleop19.7
End4.1
Second
33.70.2
34.134.2
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End4.7
red by 2.9
30.80.2
30.731.0
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End3.8
Third
4534
#21
20.40.2
20.720.9
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 2.0
3661
#29
22.40.2
22.322.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End3.7