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Red125
350635.3
456133.7
453420.4
Blue104
90027.7
345923.5
600326.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11687050100150200250125104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.2
35.435.7
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End9.1
red by 7.6
900
#13
27.70.2
27.627.7
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Second
33.70.2
33.834.1
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End4.7
red by 7.5
6003
#19
26.20.2
26.026.2
Auto10.4
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Third
4534
#21
20.40.2
20.520.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 3.1
3459
#10
23.50.2
23.323.5
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3