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Red117
493530.8
516033.2
366122.4
Blue98
479527.6
554424.4
43530.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061069010011012013011798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.1
33.033.1
Auto9.4
Teleop19.7
End4.1
red by 2.4
435
#23
30.80.1
30.930.8
Auto8.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Second
30.80.1
30.630.7
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End3.8
red by 3.2
4795
#12
27.60.1
27.727.6
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End4.9
Third
3661
#29
22.40.1
22.222.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End3.7
blue by 2.0
24.40.1
24.524.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End3.6