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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77400501001506574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
32.90.3
33.333.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End6.5
red by 10.5
5190
#14
22.52.0
18.520.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Second
3459
#10
23.50.3
23.423.1
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
red by 3.1
4534
#21
20.42.0
14.516.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Third
6214
#24
17.50.3
12.912.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End3.9
red by 1.6
4291
#31
15.92.0
11.613.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned25%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed