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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676750607080908362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#12
27.61.1
27.728.8
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End4.9
blue by 0.2
900
#13
27.70.0
22.122.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Second
5607
#30
27.11.1
24.625.6
Auto13.0
Teleop9.9
End4.2
red by 4.5
6215
#28
22.60.0
20.020.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.4
End4.5
Third
3822
#27
15.81.1
14.815.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End1.2
blue by 6.6
3661
#29
22.40.0
20.220.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed