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Red110
153334.8
456133.7
373717.1
Blue107
600326.2
265537.3
43530.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7096050150200110107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.82.2
28.630.8
Auto5.6
Teleop17.6
End11.6
blue by 2.5
37.30.2
34.334.5
Auto11.5
Teleop19.2
End6.6
Second
33.72.2
27.229.4
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End4.7
red by 2.9
435
#23
30.80.2
30.430.6
Auto8.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
3737
#25
17.12.2
16.418.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End4.1
blue by 9.0
6003
#19
26.20.2
24.824.9
Auto10.4
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed