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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7954020401001201401609634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#12
27.60.6
27.427.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End4.9
red by 8.9
5762
#26
18.71.5
20.218.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End3.3
Second
26.70.6
25.826.4
Auto11.8
Teleop10.3
End4.6
red by 9.2
6214
#24
17.51.5
18.917.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End3.9
Third
3763
#22
20.10.6
19.620.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.5
End3.0
red by 4.3
3822
#27
15.81.5
17.315.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed