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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769820406012014016077101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.3
28.728.4
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End5.2
blue by 6.8
34.80.6
33.734.3
Auto5.6
Teleop17.6
End11.6
Second
4816
#20
24.50.3
25.324.9
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End3.0
blue by 6.2
435
#23
30.80.6
30.531.1
Auto8.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
5190
#14
22.50.3
22.822.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End3.2
blue by 6.2
2059
#18
28.70.6
27.828.4
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned