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Quarterfinal 3-12016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red113
456137.5
345928.0
482824.7
Blue152
493528.9
90031.6
600424.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11310650150200113152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#4
37.50.0
36.9→36.8
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
red by 5.9
900
#12
31.60.5
31.6→32.1
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End5.0
Second
3459
#2
28.00.0
27.3→27.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
blue by 1.0
4935
#23
28.90.5
29.0→29.4
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End3.0
Third
4828
#27
24.70.0
24.0→24.0
Auto6.2
Teleop14.6
End3.9
red by 0.2
6004
#29
24.50.5
24.6→25.0
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1