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Red81
264235.1
205931.3
268226.9
Blue141
516037.0
479531.2
600326.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171265010015020081141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.4
35.535.1
Auto10.1
Teleop20.5
End4.5
blue by 1.9
37.00.0
37.837.8
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
31.30.4
31.731.3
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
red by 0.1
31.20.0
32.032.0
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Third
2682
#21
26.90.4
27.326.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
red by 0.7
6003
#19
26.20.0
27.027.0
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4