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Semifinal 2-22016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red122
456137.5
345928.0
482824.7
Blue153
43533.0
551829.5
554428.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114112406080100140160180122153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#4
37.50.2
37.3→37.5
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
red by 4.5
435
#18
33.00.4
32.6→33.0
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Second
3459
#2
28.00.2
27.8→28.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
blue by 1.6
5518
#10
29.50.4
29.2→29.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Third
4828
#27
24.70.2
24.5→24.7
Auto6.2
Teleop14.6
End3.9
blue by 3.5
5544
#20
28.20.4
27.8→28.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9