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Red142
264235.1
205931.3
268226.9
Blue109
516037.0
479531.2
600326.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171286080100140160180142109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.1
35.435.5
Auto10.1
Teleop20.5
End4.5
blue by 1.9
37.00.4
38.237.8
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
31.30.1
31.731.7
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
red by 0.1
31.20.4
32.432.0
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Third
2682
#21
26.90.1
27.227.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
red by 0.7
6003
#19
26.20.4
27.427.0
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4