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Red120
456137.5
345928.0
482824.7
Blue141
43533.0
551829.5
554428.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114111406080100140160180120141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.0
37.337.3
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
red by 4.5
435
#18
33.00.2
32.432.6
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Second
28.00.0
27.827.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
blue by 1.6
5518
#10
29.50.2
29.029.2
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Third
4828
#27
24.70.0
24.524.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.6
End3.9
blue by 3.5
5544
#20
28.20.2
27.727.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9