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Red53
264235.1
205931.3
268226.9
Blue126
516037.0
479531.2
600326.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201285010015020053126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.0
36.435.4
Auto10.1
Teleop20.5
End4.5
blue by 1.9
37.00.2
38.438.2
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
31.31.0
32.631.7
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
red by 0.1
31.20.2
32.632.4
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Third
2682
#21
26.91.0
28.227.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
red by 0.7
6003
#19
26.20.2
27.627.4
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4