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Quarterfinal 1-32016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red117
153342.5
350638.3
567926.3
Blue104
429031.7
58730.5
264030.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391126080100120160180200117104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#9
42.50.3
43.1→42.9
Auto7.1
Teleop23.1
End12.3
red by 10.8
4290
#17
31.70.2
31.9→31.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Second
3506
#1
38.30.3
38.9→38.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End11.7
red by 7.5
2640
#15
30.80.2
31.0→30.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End8.7
Third
5679
#24
26.30.3
27.0→26.7
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End4.4
blue by 4.2
587
#13
30.50.2
30.7→30.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7