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Semifinal 1-22016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red149
153342.5
350638.3
567926.3
Blue113
516037.0
479531.2
600326.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361216080100160180200149113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#9
42.50.2
42.8→42.6
Auto7.1
Teleop23.1
End12.3
red by 5.5
5160
#8
37.00.4
37.4→37.0
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
3506
#1
38.30.2
38.6→38.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End11.7
red by 7.1
4795
#7
31.20.4
31.6→31.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Third
5679
#24
26.30.2
26.6→26.4
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 0.2
6003
#19
26.20.4
26.6→26.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4