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Quarterfinal 4-12016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red120
265533.8
585431.0
319622.7
Blue133
43533.0
551829.5
554428.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107111050150200120133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
#11
33.80.2
33.6→33.8
Auto8.1
Teleop20.6
End5.1
red by 0.8
435
#18
33.00.0
32.0→32.0
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Second
5854
#3
31.00.2
30.8→31.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End7.1
red by 1.5
5518
#10
29.50.0
28.6→28.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Third
3196
#28
22.70.2
22.5→22.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End3.7
blue by 5.5
5544
#20
28.20.0
27.3→27.3
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9