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Red109
265533.8
585431.0
319622.7
Blue155
43533.0
551829.5
554428.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10811150150200109155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
#11
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto8.1
Teleop20.6
End5.1
red by 0.8
435
#18
33.00.4
32.032.4
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Second
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End7.1
red by 1.5
5518
#10
29.50.4
28.629.0
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Third
3196
#28
22.70.0
22.622.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End3.7
blue by 5.5
5544
#20
28.20.4
27.327.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9