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Qual 12016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red105
153342.5
585431.0
544625.9
Blue69
516037.0
264030.8
58730.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79946010012014010569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#9
42.51.7
34.8→36.5
Auto7.1
Teleop23.1
End12.3
red by 5.5
5160
#8
37.01.3
33.2→31.8
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
5854
#3
31.01.7
17.6→19.4
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End7.1
red by 0.3
2640
#15
30.81.3
22.8→21.5
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End8.7
Third
5446
#25
25.91.7
26.7→28.4
Auto10.0
Teleop10.5
End5.4
blue by 4.6
587
#13
30.51.3
32.9→31.6
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed