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Red54
90031.6
429031.7
621522.3
Blue84
345928.0
268226.9
397125.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90660501001505484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#17
31.72.0
33.431.4
Auto10.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
red by 3.7
28.00.7
23.524.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
Second
900
#12
31.62.0
27.725.7
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End5.0
red by 4.7
2682
#21
26.90.7
24.725.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
Third
6215
#30
22.32.0
22.620.6
Auto9.1
Teleop9.2
End4.0
blue by 3.4
3971
#14
25.80.7
19.820.5
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsMissed64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed