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Qual 102016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red80
482824.7
544625.9
205931.3
Blue129
153342.5
516037.0
350638.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841126010012014016018080129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#5
31.30.7
29.2→28.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
blue by 11.2
1533
#9
42.51.6
36.5→38.2
Auto7.1
Teleop23.1
End12.3
Second
5446
#25
25.90.7
28.4→27.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.5
End5.4
blue by 12.4
3506
#1
38.31.6
36.3→38.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End11.7
Third
4828
#27
24.70.7
28.5→27.7
Auto6.2
Teleop14.6
End3.9
blue by 12.3
5160
#8
37.01.6
31.8→33.4
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned