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Red92
551829.5
265533.8
397125.8
Blue84
456137.5
600424.5
366121.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86854060801001209284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
#11
33.80.6
37.838.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.6
End5.1
blue by 3.7
37.50.1
34.734.8
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
Second
5518
#10
29.50.6
24.725.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End5.3
red by 5.0
6004
#29
24.50.1
24.824.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
Third
3971
#14
25.80.6
20.521.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
red by 4.2
3661
#16
21.60.1
22.923.0
Auto8.8
Teleop8.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed