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Red95
319622.7
554428.2
58730.5
Blue92
43533.0
600326.2
373719.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817702003004005006007008009592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#13
30.50.8
31.632.4
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
blue by 2.4
435
#18
33.01.1
31.232.3
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Second
5544
#20
28.20.8
23.624.4
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9
red by 2.0
6003
#19
26.21.1
26.027.1
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4
Third
3196
#28
22.70.8
22.923.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End3.7
red by 3.1
3737
#31
19.61.1
18.519.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed