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Red100
268226.9
551829.5
456137.5
Blue94
319622.7
585431.0
516037.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948020406012014010094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.7
36.437.1
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
red by 0.5
37.00.6
33.534.1
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
5518
#10
29.50.7
27.127.8
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End5.3
blue by 1.5
31.00.6
22.122.8
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End7.1
Third
2682
#21
26.90.7
26.026.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
red by 4.2
3196
#28
22.70.6
23.924.5
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed