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Red79
567926.3
397125.8
43533.0
Blue120
264030.8
551122.2
205931.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817805010015079120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#18
33.00.1
31.932.0
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
red by 1.6
31.32.3
29.431.6
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Second
5679
#24
26.30.1
25.225.3
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End4.4
blue by 4.4
2640
#15
30.82.3
24.026.3
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End8.7
Third
3971
#14
25.80.1
20.720.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
red by 3.5
5511
#26
22.22.3
22.524.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned