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Red71
544625.9
600424.5
554428.2
Blue96
345928.0
429031.7
600326.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779140601001201407196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5544
#20
28.20.4
25.224.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9
blue by 3.5
4290
#17
31.70.7
30.531.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Second
5446
#25
25.90.4
27.126.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.5
End5.4
blue by 2.1
28.00.7
26.927.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
Third
6004
#29
24.50.4
24.824.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
blue by 1.7
6003
#19
26.20.7
28.729.3
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned