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Red94
493528.9
366121.6
350638.3
Blue79
482824.7
479531.2
58730.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97914060801201409479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.0
40.440.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End11.7
red by 7.1
31.20.7
29.829.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Second
4935
#23
28.90.0
29.229.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End3.0
blue by 1.6
587
#13
30.50.7
33.432.7
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
Third
3661
#16
21.60.0
24.024.0
Auto8.8
Teleop8.3
End4.5
blue by 3.1
4828
#27
24.70.7
26.325.6
Auto6.2
Teleop14.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed