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Red97
153342.5
340223.5
456137.5
Blue100
264235.1
90031.6
205931.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039440608012014016097100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.1
38.638.5
Auto7.1
Teleop23.1
End12.3
red by 7.4
35.10.5
35.736.2
Auto10.1
Teleop20.5
End4.5
Second
37.50.1
37.137.0
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
red by 5.9
900
#12
31.60.5
25.526.0
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End5.0
Third
3402
#22
23.50.1
23.223.1
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 7.8
31.30.5
31.632.1
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned