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Red98
90031.6
58730.5
551122.2
Blue78
554428.2
265533.8
479531.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84970501502009878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#12
31.60.6
26.026.7
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End5.0
blue by 2.2
2655
#11
33.81.0
38.637.6
Auto8.1
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Second
587
#13
30.50.6
32.733.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
blue by 0.7
31.21.0
29.128.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Third
5511
#26
22.20.6
24.825.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End4.1
blue by 5.9
5544
#20
28.21.0
24.823.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned10%Capture oddsEarned