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Red64
43533.0
368014.3
600424.5
Blue122
567926.3
264235.1
153342.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411005010015020064122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#18
33.00.3
32.031.7
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
blue by 9.5
42.51.5
38.539.9
Auto7.1
Teleop23.1
End12.3
Second
6004
#29
24.50.3
24.424.0
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
blue by 10.6
35.11.5
36.237.7
Auto10.1
Teleop20.5
End4.5
Third
3680
#32
14.30.3
12.712.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.4
blue by 12.0
5679
#24
26.31.5
25.326.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed