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Red95
205931.3
429031.7
479531.2
Blue42
319622.7
551122.2
551829.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98770501502009542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#17
31.70.2
31.531.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
red by 2.1
5518
#10
29.52.4
27.825.4
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Second
31.30.2
32.132.3
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
red by 8.6
3196
#28
22.72.4
24.922.5
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End3.7
Third
31.20.2
28.128.4
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
red by 9.0
5511
#26
22.22.4
25.423.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed