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Red111
554428.2
516037.0
373719.6
Blue60
345928.0
600424.5
265533.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809405015020011160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.02.1
34.436.5
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
red by 3.2
2655
#11
33.81.9
36.334.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Second
5544
#20
28.22.1
25.327.4
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9
red by 0.2
28.01.9
28.326.4
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
Third
3737
#31
19.62.1
19.821.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End4.1
blue by 4.9
6004
#29
24.51.9
24.322.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsMissed