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Red89
58730.5
268226.9
153342.5
Blue107
456137.5
43533.0
429031.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105105909510011089107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.2
41.540.3
Auto7.1
Teleop23.1
End12.3
red by 5.0
37.50.3
38.338.7
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
Second
587
#13
30.51.2
33.131.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
blue by 2.4
435
#18
33.00.3
32.232.5
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Third
2682
#21
26.91.2
27.826.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
blue by 4.8
4290
#17
31.70.3
31.732.1
Auto10.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned