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Red100
264235.1
345928.0
264030.8
Blue72
456137.5
265533.8
600326.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110605015020010072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.6
37.237.8
Auto10.1
Teleop20.5
End4.5
blue by 2.4
37.51.9
38.736.7
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
Second
2640
#15
30.80.6
27.428.0
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End8.7
blue by 3.0
2655
#11
33.81.9
34.432.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Third
28.00.6
26.427.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
red by 1.8
6003
#19
26.21.9
27.725.8
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed19%Capture oddsMissed