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Red74
544625.9
429031.7
58730.5
Blue100
567926.3
516037.0
493528.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929840608012014016018074100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#17
31.71.1
32.131.0
Auto10.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
blue by 5.3
37.00.4
36.536.9
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
587
#13
30.51.1
31.930.8
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
red by 1.6
4935
#23
28.90.4
29.830.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End3.0
Third
5446
#25
25.91.1
26.625.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.5
End5.4
blue by 0.5
5679
#24
26.30.4
27.928.3
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned