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Red83
319622.7
600326.2
493528.9
Blue96
205931.3
366121.6
265533.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80932040601001201408396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#23
28.90.1
30.830.7
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End3.0
blue by 4.9
2655
#11
33.80.5
37.337.8
Auto8.1
Teleop20.6
End5.1
Second
6003
#19
26.20.1
26.226.0
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4
blue by 5.1
31.30.5
28.729.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Third
3196
#28
22.70.1
23.122.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End3.7
red by 1.1
3661
#16
21.60.5
22.422.9
Auto8.8
Teleop8.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed