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Red70
340223.5
621522.3
268226.9
Blue92
373719.6
264235.1
585431.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697540506080901001107092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#21
26.90.1
25.425.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
blue by 8.2
35.11.3
35.737.0
Auto10.1
Teleop20.5
End4.5
Second
3402
#22
23.50.1
21.922.0
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 7.5
31.01.3
19.420.7
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End7.1
Third
6215
#30
22.30.1
20.620.7
Auto9.1
Teleop9.2
End4.0
red by 2.7
3737
#31
19.61.3
17.118.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed