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Red90
482824.7
600424.5
153342.5
Blue118
479531.2
585431.0
264030.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9091708010011012090118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.1
40.740.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.1
End12.3
red by 11.3
31.21.4
31.232.7
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Second
4828
#27
24.70.1
24.224.3
Auto6.2
Teleop14.6
End3.9
blue by 6.4
31.01.4
28.630.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End7.1
Third
6004
#29
24.50.1
23.623.7
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
blue by 6.3
2640
#15
30.81.4
27.128.5
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed