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Red95
43533.0
366121.6
516037.0
Blue70
397125.8
368014.3
493528.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102650501509570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.6
39.038.4
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
red by 8.1
4935
#23
28.90.2
29.229.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End3.0
Second
435
#18
33.00.6
32.832.2
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
red by 7.2
3971
#14
25.80.2
25.224.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
Third
3661
#16
21.60.6
22.221.6
Auto8.8
Teleop8.3
End4.5
red by 7.3
3680
#32
14.30.2
14.214.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed