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Red103
585431.0
340223.5
265533.8
Blue93
551829.5
205931.3
554428.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions879020406010012014016018010393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
#11
33.80.8
32.733.6
Auto8.1
Teleop20.6
End5.1
red by 2.5
31.30.4
32.332.6
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Second
31.00.8
30.030.8
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End7.1
red by 1.5
5518
#10
29.50.4
28.328.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Third
3402
#22
23.50.8
22.623.5
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 4.7
5544
#20
28.20.4
26.927.3
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned