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Red92
429031.7
397125.8
600424.5
Blue97
264235.1
58730.5
43533.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7710702040601201401609297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#17
31.70.8
30.831.6
Auto10.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
blue by 3.4
35.10.2
36.636.4
Auto10.1
Teleop20.5
End4.5
Second
3971
#14
25.80.8
24.925.8
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
blue by 7.2
435
#18
33.00.2
32.232.0
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
Third
6004
#29
24.50.8
23.724.6
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
blue by 6.0
587
#13
30.50.2
30.630.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned