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Qual 632016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red81
479531.2
345928.0
366121.6
Blue77
544625.9
456137.5
567926.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82980501508177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#7
31.20.0
32.7→32.6
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
blue by 6.3
4561
#4
37.51.1
37.9→36.9
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
Second
3459
#2
28.00.0
27.4→27.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
red by 1.6
5679
#24
26.31.1
27.9→26.9
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End4.4
Third
3661
#16
21.60.0
21.6→21.6
Auto8.8
Teleop8.3
End4.5
blue by 4.3
5446
#25
25.91.1
26.9→25.9
Auto10.0
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed