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Red104
350626.8
429030.7
551116.1
Blue66
319623.6
23435.9
368010.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818460709010011010466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.3
27.728.0
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
blue by 5.2
234
#5
35.90.7
36.535.8
Auto10.6
Teleop20.6
End4.7
Second
3506
#10
26.80.3
23.824.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.5
red by 3.2
23.60.7
24.223.5
Auto3.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Third
5511
#27
16.10.3
13.113.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 5.9
3680
#22
10.30.7
10.810.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End-0.3