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Red101
150132.9
265530.8
12259.1
Blue70
268223.4
264226.0
264017.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858005010015010170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#13
32.90.2
32.632.8
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.5
red by 6.8
26.00.1
25.625.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
30.80.2
30.530.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End4.3
red by 7.4
2682
#15
23.40.1
22.923.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End6.8
Third
1225
#30
9.10.2
8.99.1
Auto0.9
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 8.0
2640
#20
17.10.1
16.716.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End3.4