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Quarterfinal 2-22016 NC District - Guilford County Event
Red121
350626.8
429030.7
551116.1
Blue101
319623.6
23435.9
368010.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8282607090100110120121101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#4
30.70.5
28.0→28.4
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
blue by 5.2
234
#5
35.90.1
35.8→35.9
Auto10.6
Teleop20.6
End4.7
Second
3506
#10
26.80.5
24.1→24.6
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.5
red by 3.2
3196
#7
23.60.1
23.5→23.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Third
5511
#27
16.10.5
13.4→13.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 5.9
3680
#22
10.30.1
10.1→10.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End-0.3