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Red107
150132.9
265530.8
333118.9
Blue110
268223.4
264226.0
264017.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10277204060120140160107110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#13
32.90.0
32.832.8
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.5
red by 6.8
26.00.4
25.726.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
30.80.0
30.730.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End4.3
red by 7.4
2682
#15
23.40.4
23.023.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End6.8
Third
3331
#17
18.90.0
18.818.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.6
End3.2
red by 1.8
2640
#20
17.10.4
16.817.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End3.4