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Red95
43527.6
153322.9
572716.7
Blue54
382213.2
150132.9
476712.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465502040801009554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#3
27.63.8
14.418.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End5.9
blue by 5.3
1501
#13
32.90.2
27.027.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.5
Second
22.93.8
18.522.2
Auto1.8
Teleop15.7
End5.4
red by 9.7
3822
#23
13.20.2
14.814.9
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Third
5727
#19
16.73.8
13.116.9
Auto0.7
Teleop12.4
End3.6
red by 4.0
4767
#25
12.70.2
10.710.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed