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Red30
340213.5
265530.8
518817.1
Blue68
319623.6
384521.4
48296.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605302040801001201403068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.83.0
21.718.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.9
End4.3
red by 7.2
23.61.7
19.221.0
Auto3.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Second
5188
#16
17.13.0
23.420.5
Auto1.9
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 4.3
21.41.7
18.520.2
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Third
3402
#24
13.53.0
11.88.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.7
red by 7.3
4829
#26
6.31.7
14.616.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed