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Red34
476712.7
12259.1
397117.8
Blue58
153322.9
264226.0
384521.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4375020601001201403458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3971
#14
17.81.4
16.915.5
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
blue by 8.3
26.01.1
23.722.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
4767
#25
12.71.4
12.611.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End2.1
blue by 10.2
22.91.1
24.022.9
Auto1.8
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Third
1225
#30
9.11.4
16.815.4
Auto0.9
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 12.3
21.41.1
20.219.1
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed