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Red52
429030.7
551116.1
518817.1
Blue62
600418.9
368010.3
456123.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394602060805262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.9
15.916.8
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
red by 7.2
23.52.0
18.020.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End3.2
Second
5188
#16
17.10.9
14.615.5
Auto1.9
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 1.8
6004
#18
18.92.0
14.116.1
Auto1.5
Teleop13.7
End3.7
Third
5511
#27
16.10.9
8.79.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 5.9
3680
#22
10.32.0
11.813.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
14%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed